Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.923402 4.633399 5.398484 6.280044 7.263525 8.322802 9.545720
2025-12-07 2.888446 3.826903 4.920568 6.272004 7.879361 9.712546 11.943203
2025-12-14 2.031398 3.031737 4.292849 5.958620 8.058739 10.576741 13.779630
2025-12-21 1.451863 2.447581 3.804505 5.713043 8.249259 11.425496 15.619845
2025-12-28 1.198823 2.244437 3.765011 6.013721 9.125526 13.151477 18.615040
2026-01-04 1.032692 2.129027 3.818722 6.427850 10.162819 15.125132 22.008396
2026-01-11 0.885292 2.007723 3.837215 6.778185 11.119612 17.025599 25.376250
2026-01-18 0.711199 1.797419 3.680767 6.841137 11.658041 18.370774 28.046591
2026-01-25 0.534957 1.534288 3.392322 6.659390 11.810496 19.170934 29.991264
2026-02-01 0.404148 1.321774 3.151463 6.516815 11.994029 20.002527 31.987201
2026-02-08 0.303955 1.141995 2.936093 6.384577 12.169536 20.812016 33.959932
2026-02-15 0.232510 1.004827 2.776229 6.324187 12.442564 21.761225 36.145809
2026-02-22 0.201089 0.967561 2.817610 6.634231 13.344942 23.703509 39.854126
2026-03-01 0.155126 0.867086 2.707634 6.653929 13.767241 24.934588 42.565771
2026-03-08 0.102261 0.710794 2.440070 6.342112 13.605201 25.255554 43.941269
2026-03-15 0.066656 0.588145 2.220797 6.093658 13.526220 25.690593 45.486596
2026-03-22 0.057659 0.576037 2.278395 6.414133 14.465560 27.765799 49.554984
2026-03-29 0.052982 0.583142 2.388136 6.851428 15.632087 30.235343 54.274915
2026-04-05 0.046868 0.578335 2.464004 7.220436 16.687668 32.551042 58.804257
2026-04-12 0.035204 0.529002 2.404099 7.287494 17.189062 33.976609 61.991342
2026-04-19 0.022267 0.450242 2.237418 7.097664 17.197504 34.587621 63.923788
2026-04-26 0.013752 0.386058 2.096822 6.948559 17.268515 35.296299 66.015271
2026-05-03 0.008084 0.330879 1.968256 6.810096 17.345983 36.009111 68.117604